Horses To Watch Del Mar Fall Meet Week 3

GET YOURSELF HOME ( November 17): Three year old filly for Mike Machowsky made her debut in Friday’s 4th, a five and a half furlong sprint on the main track for Cal bred maiden special weights. Off as the 4/5 choice in a field of six, she hopped at the start and quickly spotted the field five lengths. She remained in last to the top of the lane, split horses and finished eagerly, but the winner was gone and she had to settle for second beaten two lengths. The start cost her the race but like many first time starters, it’s all new to them and many miss the start. She will probably break better in start #2 and if Bejarano rides her back, she should get the job done. It doesn’t take all that much horse to win these Cal bred maiden races and this one is bred top

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News and Notes Del Mar Fall Week 3

• Three weeks of the four week Del Mar Fall meet are in the books, but they have saved the best for last with four very good days of racing this coming week, highlighted by the Turf Festival, with graded stakes on the grass all four days. Full fields and plenty of wide open races will make for some good wagering opportunities. This past week the main track returned to playing “fair” and the rally wide closers bias is long gone. I still prefer outside posts when sprinting on the main track, but there is no bias. And the same goes for the turf course now that it is worn down. They have been carding 4 turf races every day and the course is playing very fair. Early speed can win going long as it did twice on Sunday, however keep in mind, the inner rails have been out ever

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Road to the Derby 2018 Contenders List and Analysis

Kentucky Derby 2018 is right around the corner. Well, not quite, but we are well into the month of September and it is time to roll out my annual Derby contenders list. Eleven of the last seventeen Kentucky Derby winners graduated by October 4, including eight of the last eleven. Kentucky Derby 2012 hero I’ll Have Another captured his career debut at Hollywood Park on July 3 of his juvenile season. Kentucky Derby 2013 winner Orb lost his first three juvenile outings. He graduated at the Big A on November 24, 2012, his first of five straight wins, culminating in an off the pace tally under the Twin Spires on May 4. Kentucky Derby 2014 winner California Chrome earned his diploma in his second career start ($100k Graduation – 5.5f) at Del Mar on July 31, 2013. He ended his juvenile season with an easy win in the King Glorious,

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Weekly Recap Del Mar Fall Week 2

Friday Del Mar Recap: November 10 Fast main track and firm turf course. Two dueling front running winners on dirt (6f, 6.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a pace prompter at five furlongs, a closer at a mile and a sixteenth, and a stalker at one mile (rail at 24 feet). Two wins for Rafael Bejarano. November 10 Claims: Race 1 – Sweetwater Gal ($12.5k, John F. Martin). Race 5 – Miss Boom Boom ($25k, Doug O’Neill). Race 8 – La Chepis ($32k, Keith Desormeaux). La Chepis cruised home to a rather easy maiden victory at 8-1 in the finale for Victor Garcia and Keith Desormeaux reached in and took her for $32,000. The Super Saver-Tiznow filly will likely show up in a starter allowance event next time and Kent Desormeaux will probably ride. Saturday Del Mar Recap: November 11 Fast main track and firm turf course. Two

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Del Mar Breeders’ Cup week 2017 recap (Nov 1-5)

Wednesday Del Mar Recap: November 1 Fast main track and firm turf course. Three front running winners on dirt. The winning turf course running styles were a patient runner at five furlongs, a front runner at a mile and a sixteenth, a presser at one mile, and a stalker at one mile (rail at 30 feet). Flavien Prat and Evin Roman both booted home a pair. Phil D’Amato saddled two winners. Master Merion pressed and got the jump on Harbour Master to win the Let It Ride Stakes by a 1/2 length under John Velazquez. Kitten’s Cat dueled and finished a few lengths behind the top pair in 3rd. Thursday Del Mar Recap: November 2 Fast main track and firm turf course. Two front running winners on dirt (7f, 5.5f). The winning turf course running styles were a midpack stalker at one mile, a flat mile stalker, a closer at

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News and Notes Del Mar Fall Week 2

• Del Mar completed week two of their Fall meet this past Sunday and the main track remains a biased race track. On opening week the first two days favored early speed, then they over corrected the issue for the Breeders Cup and the track favored rally wide closers and the rail was completely dead for the weekend. This past week they ran just 3 days and although the race track was fair from a pace standpoint, the outside lanes are clearly the best. The bias is not as strong as it was for the Cup but it is still there. Outside posts sprinting, with tactical speed, will put you in the winners circle. The turf course is also biased as it consistently favors off the pace runners, even with the rails out 24 feet. Lone front runners, which are normally dangerous, always seem to get swallowed up at the

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Horses To Watch Del Mar Fall Meet Week 2

BEER TAP ( November 10): Two year old Arizona bred filly for Phil D’Amato made start #2 in Friday’s third, a maiden special weight event at five furlongs on the turf. Off at 3/1 in an 8 horse field, she sat 4th down the back side just 3 lengths off the pace. Jockey Tyler Baze had a ton of horse turning for home and had a decision to make at the top of the lane. Of course he chose the rail, even with the outside wide open. He ran over a horse to get there, no inquiry lodged, but was on the worst part of the course down the lane and was beaten by a lesser horse way on the outside. His decision cost him the race as he got beat a neck at the wire while on much the best horse. Beer Tap added blinkers for this race and

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News and Notes Opening Week Del Mar

• Del Mar completed their first full five day week of their Fall meet on Sunday. The main track had a strong speed bias on Wednesday and Thursday, but that tapered off on Friday as the track was considered “fair” for Day One of the Breeders’ Cup. That scenario changed dramatically on Saturday where the inside part of the track was “dead” and rally wide closers won all the races with the exception of the last, where Gun Runner overcame a double bias and still won as only a great horse can. The change from Thursday to Saturday was dramatic as far as a track bias can go, and we don’t overplay these conditions. Normally something like this only happens when the skies unload with a deluge of rain, and that was not the case at Del Mar last week. What we get this week when racing returns on Friday

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Horses To Watch Opening Week Del Mar

INCENSED (November 1): If Paco Lopez is going to become the regular rider for the Peter Miller barn, he better learn how to ride the turf course better than he did in Wednesday’s opener. Off as the 3/1 second choice in the wagering, he sat third behind the early speed and was in excellent position to win the race turning for home. But Lopez got him boxed in behind horses, couldn’t find a seam to get through, checked, and then finally swung to the outside while losing at least 4 lengths. He finished strongly but the race was over. He missed by a neck and was much the best. Miller may get another race in him for this first allowance condition before the end of the meet. He’s a soon winner. SIGUR ROS (November 1): Three year old gelding for Carla Gaines made his debut in Wednesday’s sixth, a maiden

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