There was only one race last weekend that qualified for the Kentucky Derby Championship Series and that was the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct Saturday, March 2. This was the 2013 debut for two-time Grade 2 winner Overanalyze for the Todd Pletcher stable and he went off as the favorite. However, it was the undefeated Vyjack who rallied for the win as the second choice for the Rudy Rodriguez barn. Gotham: Vyjack was on or near the lead throughout in his narrow win in his first route which was a Grade 2 Jan 5, but this time he raced near the back of the pack early and rallied wide for the impressive victory. Overanalyze tracked the leaders throughout, but basically ran evenly as he held his ground for 5th. He looked like he may have needed that one and we would not be surprised to see him move up

It’s been a fantastic Meet from South Florida, even better with Derby Fever in the air! It’s been interesting to watch the main track of late. For the first two months, we saw a listless track, very uncommon for this particular Meet, a bit on the slower side, with horses often times not switching leads due to the tiring nature of the strip. But then the rains came 2 weeks ago. The track was sealed creating the usual faster surface over the wet going, but since drying out, obviously the maintenance responded differently, or perhaps the composite following the rains have changed things, as this main track now has that familiar Gulfstream zip in the surface we’re accustomed to seeing, quick throughout, now favoring those on or near the front end………..On the Derby scene, it was sad to see a career ending injury to Pletcher’s promising Violence, who’s been turned

We kicked off the Kentucky Derby Championship Series on Feb 23 with a huge upset in the Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds along with the loss of Violence who was injured when 2nd in the Fountain Of Youth at Gulfstream Park.  These two races produced fast times and numbers for the level and it will be interesting to see if these runners can keep their form as the distances get longer. Risen Star:  Outsider I’ve Struck A Nerve rallied from the back to win at 135/1 in what was a blanket finish Feb 23.  The first eight runners in the field finished within 3 1/2 lengths of each other and that usually suggests it was a weak race.  However, the numbers were solid as was the pace for the top three finishers as you can see below: I’ve Struck A Nerve:    CPR=169          FIRE=112         Pace Rating=111         Final Time Rating=159

Much like the old highwaymen who looted carriages and stagecoaches in the days of yore, a track bias can pop out of nowhere to pillage your bankroll.  When a bias emerges from the bushes without warning, all the prep work done beforehand becomes meaningless as a normally rational thought process becomes a one-way trip to oblivion. Gold Rush Day at Hollywood Park (oh, sorry, Betfair Hollywood Park) was just such a day.  The track had opened Thursday and raced at night on Friday and nothing that happened during either program could have prepared handicappers for the flurry of rally/wide winners that dominated over the weekend.   Suddenly, being in front early became folly and racing along the fence was a double dose of disaster.  No horse in first or second at the first call was able to succeed on Saturday and just one pulled it off on Sunday.  Traditional pace-and-trip handicapping

When a horse pays $91, it behooves all handicappers to revisit the animal to see if something was overlooked or if the victory was simply an unpredictable fluke. In the case of Pocket Prince in the Saturday lid lifter at Santa Anita, it seemed more the former than the latter. It’s not as if Pocket Prince should have been the 8/5 favorite or anything but his credentials were far better than the 44/1 odds blinking on the tote board at post time. The race itself, a straight-maiden affair for Cal-breds going a mile on the grass was a bit of an anomaly to start with.  After all, it’s rare that we see an 11-horse field that features eight horses that had competed against each other in a recent event under the same conditions.  That was the case here as seven of the colts and geldings had last started in Race