2013 Kentucky Derby recap

Kentucky Derby 139 went to one of the three top ranked horses in the Digest Derby Dozen: Orb.  He went off as the mild 5/1 favorite under jockey Joel Rosario for trainer Shug McGaughey who are both first-time Kentucky Derby winners. The pace was fast with surprise frontrunner Palace Malice setting the fractions and it really set up well for the closers.  In fact, four of the first five finishers were 15th or further at the 1/2 mile pole of the race.  In what has been a familiar theme in recent Kentucky Derby’s, the race was fast early and slow late as they went 1:09.80 for six furlongs and finished the race in 2:02.89. With the fast pace, Orb was able to circle the field around the far turn which was similar to the move made by 2001 winner Monarchos.  Orb did have to shift out a few strides after

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Kentucky Derby week: Friday

Black Onyx has been scratched due to an ankle chip. He was to start from post position #1 and his gate will remain empty for the race. Also-eligible Fear The Kitten does not draw in as entries were closed at 9:00 am local time this morning. Scratch time is early due to the wagering pools opening up at that time for Kentucky Derby day. As of press time, here are some interesting odds from the early wagering for the Kentucky Derby: Revolutionary was the early favorite at 5/1.  Also at 5/1 was Goldencents and Orb was 6/1. Verrazano was 11/1 early while Normandy Invasion was 7/1. Frac Daddy who was 50/1 on the morning line was 16/1 and Vyjack who was 15/1 on the morning line was 47/1.   We’ll give a final recap of the race and post it here on Monday.

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Kentucky Derby week: Thursday

Today’s Racing Digest Kentucky Derby edition is now available to download on our website www.TodaysRacingDigest.com  You will find individual comments for every Kentucky Derby entrant, exclusive workout analysis and Video Notebook comments.  Also included are the Quick Picks page, the Fractional Charting and the Consensus Page.  The rest of the 13 race card has analysis of each race.  This is quite a value for only $10! Did you make any Kentucky Derby Future Wagers?  Here are a few of the interesting payoffs that are “alive” from all three pools: In the first pool if you boxed Mylute with Vyjack in the Exacta, you are looking at a payoff of $12,500+ for your $2 wager. Goldencents was 20/1 in the first pool, 24/1 in the second pool and a whopping 49/1 in the third pool. If you bet the “field” in the first pool, you have eight horses in the Derby

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Kentucky Derby week: Wednesday

Kentucky Derby 139 was drawn today with 21 entries with 20 to go in the starting gate.  The morning line favorite is Orb at 7/2 from post 16.  Verrazano, one of five entries for the Todd Pletcher barn drew post 14 and is the second choice at 4/1.  Goldencents is the third choice at 5/1 with the rest of the field at double-digit odds on the morning line. There is a guaranteed $1 million pool for the Pick 6 (races 6-11) at Churchill Downs for Saturday, May 4.  All six races in the Pick 6 are Stakes races ending with the Kentucky Derby at 6:24 pm EST/3:24 pm PST and it is a $2 minimum wager.  A Pick 4 and a Pick 5 with a $.50 minimum wager will also be available and both wagers end with the Kentucky Derby. Notes: The Kentucky Derby Today’s Racing Digest which will include

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Kentucky Derby week: Tuesday

Who will be the favorites in this year’s Kentucky Derby? The favorite likely will be Orb.  He owns two Graded Stakes wins at Gulfstream, he has the running style many look for and he has reportedly been working well.  He has a Hall Of Fame trainer in Shug McGaughey and jockey Joel Rosario who is off a record-breaking meet at Keeneland. Normandy Invasion, Verrazano and Goldencents could be the next three in line.  Normandy Invasion received plenty of accolades in his runner-up effort in the Wood Memorial.  Verrazano was the winner of that race, is trained by Todd Pletcher and is undefeated.  Goldencents represents California and is trained by last year’s winner Doug O’Neill. Revolutionary won the Louisiana Derby, is trained by Todd Pletcher and is scheduled to be ridden by fan-favorite Calvin Borel.  Mylute was 2nd in that race and jockey Rosie Napravnik (who was featured on 60 Minutes

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Kentucky Derby week: Monday

We’ll be posting a short blog every day through Friday to give you updates leading up to the Kentucky Derby. There were some declarations over the weekend including the winner of the Derby Trial Forty Tales who has been ruled out.  The Lexington Stakes winner, Winning Cause, has also been declared.  Trainer Bob Baffert said that he will not enter any of his horses including the top runner in the Digest Derby Dozen Govenor Charlie. As of press time, there is a 50% chance of showers in Louisville on Saturday as well.  The Digest lists the sire’s progeny of wins in the mud by percentage and that could be important if the track is muddy or sloppy.  Look for updates for the Kentucky Derby Digest which includes the full card from Churchill Downs on our website. The top 3-year-old in the country may be running on Friday instead of Saturday. 

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Lexington Stakes recap

With a win in the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland on Saturday, April 20, it appears that Winning Cause just may make the Kentucky Derby lineup.  As of press time, no word on where Winning Cause will make his next start or whether he is even considered for the Kentucky Derby. None of the other nine runners in the race picked up enough points so there really is no need to talk about them.  Winning Cause sat in midpack and began his move outside about halfway around the far turn.  He entered the stretch wide, but was able to rally and proved best by one length. All three of his lifetime wins have been over the Keeneland Polytrack and he has never routed on dirt.  He earned a 143 Final Time Rating which will place him in a three-way tie on our Top 12.  If ‘Cause is entered for the Kentucky

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Arkansas Derby and Blue Grass Stakes recap

The last two major preps for the Kentucky Derby took place on Saturday, April 13 as trainers Todd Pletcher and Kenneth McPeek finished 1-2 in both races.  At Oaklawn Park, it was the Arkansas Derby won by Overanalyze under Rafael Bejarano and in the Blue Grass at Keeneland, it was Java’s War under Julien Leparoux. Arkansas Derby: This year’s edition was the slowest since 1978 as Overanalyze won by just over four lengths for trainer Todd Pletcher.  In comparison, the Oaklawn Handicap (raced an hour before) went in 1:49.67 while this race was run in 1:51.94.  Frac Daddy was able to finish 2nd with Carve a half-length back in 3rd.  The favorite, War Academy, was eased up the backstretch. The top three pace setters did not finish in the Trifecta and it looks like most all of these horses will have a tough time winning at 10 furlongs at the

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Santa Anita Derby and Wood Memorial Recap

Some familiar names punched their ticket for the Kentucky Derby this past weekend as Goldencents and Verrazano won their respective races.  We also learned that Santa Anita Derby runner-up Flashback was found to have a knee chip and is off the trail while Wood Memorial third-place finisher Vyjack had mucus in his lungs and possibly bled. Santa Anita Derby: The pace figured to be contested and seven of the eight runners bunched up entering the clubhouse turn.  Super Ninety Nine set the pace with Goldencents pressing him to his outside.  Entering the stretch, those two lined up with Flashback outside of them two in what looked to be a thrilling stretch duel. It never really happened as Super Ninety Nine tired while Goldencents never let Flashback get within a length throughout the stretch.  This was a nice rebound for Goldencents off his 4th in the San Felipe.  We mentioned after

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Louisiana Derby and Florida Derby Recap

The first major preps at 1 1/8 miles took place on Saturday, March 30 and the final times for both races were not impressive. Still, both winners look like they are entering the Derby in top form as each kept their win streaks intact. Both races did have different pace scenarios as well and we’ll discuss below. Louisiana Derby: Longshot Hip Four Sixtynine and Titletown Five dueled early on fast fractions with Code West stalking them in the clear in the third spot.  Those two gave up the lead as they entered the stretch as the field bunched up.  Revolutionary and Mylute both rallied wide and they began their duel to the wire at the 1/8th pole.  It looked like Mylute was going to hold off Revolutionary, but it was Revolutionary proving best at the wire to win by a neck.  Code West ended up a tired 6th with no

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