Speed and Performance Figures
Accurate Speed and Performance Figures For Every Leg of the Race
The key to being a winning handicapper is having better, more comprehensive information than the rest of the betting public and then knowing how to interpret that information. While speed figures can be helpful having only one final speed or performance figure is not enough. Understanding how the race will be run and where the speed will be at in the beginning middle, and end of the race is the key to understanding the shape of the race and more accurately predicting the outcome.
Your handicapping is only as good as your speed and performance figures so it is important to make sure you get them from a reliable source. Since 1970, Today’s Racing Digest has been producing and fine tuning it’s figures to ensure they are the best available anywhere. Our easy to use speed and performance figures cover the early speed, final speed and speed throughout the entire race. No other product gives you a more accurate and complete picture of how the race will unfold. From our Velocity Speed Rating (FIRE Number) to our Pace and Final Time Ratings you will be confident that you are getting the best figures possible.
The Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR)
This is the Digest’s original and most reliable speed figure. The CPR is especially powerful given that it is more then just a final speed rating which only tells you how fast a horse ran in it’s last race. The CPR is based on pace, final time and closing fraction. It is then modified by the track variant (place and track speed) and may be adjusted for an ‘unusual’ pace. The CPR, with its pace component built in, tends to favor horses with a good mix of speed and stamina. If, a frontrunner and pace-presser were to deadheat for the win, the pace-presser would likely earn the better figure. By taking into account the pace of the race and removing any bias or unusual pace you get a more accurate reflection of a horse’s true ability which can then easily be compared to other horse’s in the same race. The higher the number the faster the horse. The CPR is found in 3 places on the Digest race sheets.
The CPR the horse is expected to earn in today’s race
The CPR in the header in column 5 is one of the many reasons Today’s Racing Digest can help you be a more successful handicapper. Most of the betting public use traditional handicapping products that do not provide the level of sophistication that can be found in the CPR. By using the CPR you will periodically find a horse that “jumps off the page” and will have a much higher CPR than the other horses running, yet nobody else will be betting on them. More times than not this is the case where you have struck “gold” and found your “inside information”.
The best CPR the horse has earned on today’s surface and distance
The CPR the horse earned in it’s last race
The CPR for each horse up to the last 6 starts
Final Race Equation (FIRE Number)
The FIRE Number is the Digest’s exclusive comprehensive speed figure that is created using every tool available to the Digest. Like other speed figures, this is an easy-to-read numerical rating for a horse’s performance. However, unlike other speed figures which only take into account a horse’s final speed rating, the Fire Number is based on a horse’s speed throughout the race, taking into account each and every time recorded by the horse during the running of the race.
When using the FIRE number, keep in mind that each two points represent approximately one length regardless of distance or surface. A horse with a 96 FIRE is a half-length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 97 FIRE is a full length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 98 FIRE is one-and-a-half lengths better than a horse with a 95 FIRE and so on. The FIRE Number can be found it 2 places in the race sheets.
The FIRE Number for Today’s Race
The figure listed is what we expect the horse to run today. When using the FIRE number, keep in mind that this number is based on a 100 par, where our other figures are based off a 150 par. Each two points represent approximately one length regardless of distance or surface. A horse with a 96 FIRE is a half-length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 97 FIRE is a full length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 98 FIRE is one-and-a-half lengths better than a horse with a 95 FIRE and so on. First-time starters and foreign horses will be marked with an ‘X’; horses whose ratings are ‘1’ exit very poor performances and lightly-raced horses who seem better than the FIRE would suggest will get a ‘?’, read this last symbol as ‘capable of improvement’
The FIRE Number for up to the last 10 starts
Combined Speed and Competitive Level Rating (TOT)
Last Fraction (LST FRT)
In longer races called routes, especially in turf routes, the ability of a horse to have a fast closing ability can make a lot of difference in how the race will be run. This especially becomes important when a race has multiple horses that like to be out in the lead (front runners) where a potential speed duel may occur. The Digest race sheets make it easy to find the swiftest closer using the Last Fraction (LST FRT).
Percentage of Favorites In This Type of Race
The Digest race sheets list the percentages for winning favorites and favorites in the money for that particular race. Believe it or not, certain races produce more upsets than others and we try to give you the heads up by providing these stats.
|A Chart to Rate The Percentages For Favorites|
|Win %||Description||In-the-money %|
|0 to 20.9||far far below||0 to 50.9|
|21.0 to 25.9||far below||51.0 to 57.9|
|26.0 to 27.9||well below||58.0 to 61.9|
|28.0 to 30.9||below||62.0 to 63.9|
|31.0 to 32.5||slightly below||64.0 to 65.9|
|32.6 to 33.9||average||66.0 to 67.9|
|34.0 to 35.9||slightly above||68.0 to 69.9|
|36.0 to 37.0||above||70.0 to 73.9|
|37.1 to 39.9||well above||74.0 to 79.9|
|40.0 to 44.9||far above||80.0 to 83.9|
|45.0 up||far far above||84.0 up|