Speed and Performance Figures

Accurate Speed and Performance Figures For Every Leg of the Race

 

The key to being a winning handicapper is having better, more comprehensive information than the rest of the betting public and then knowing how to interpret that information.  While speed figures can be helpful having only one final speed or performance figure is not enough. Understanding how the race will be run and where the speed will be at in the beginning middle, and end of the race is the key to understanding the shape of the race and more accurately predicting the outcome.

Your handicapping is only as good as your speed and performance figures so it is important to make sure you get them from a reliable source.  Since 1970, Today’s Racing Digest has been producing and fine tuning it’s figures to ensure they are the best available anywhere.  Our easy to use speed and performance figures cover the early speed, final speed and speed throughout the entire race.    No other product gives you a more accurate and complete picture of how the race will unfold.  From our Velocity Speed Rating (FIRE Number) to our Pace and Final Time Ratings you will be confident that you are getting the best figures possible.


 

The Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR)

This is the Digest’s original and most reliable speed figure.  The CPR is especially powerful given that it is more then just a final speed rating which only tells you how fast a horse ran in it’s last race.  The CPR is based on pace, final time and closing fraction.  It is then modified by the track variant (place and track speed) and may be adjusted for an ‘unusual’ pace.  The CPR, with its pace component built in, tends to favor horses with a good mix of speed and stamina. If, a frontrunner and pace-presser were to deadheat for the win, the pace-presser would likely earn the better figure. By taking into account the pace of the race and removing any bias or unusual pace you get a more accurate reflection of a horse’s true ability which can then easily be compared to other horse’s in the same race.   The higher the number the faster the horse.  The CPR is found in 3 places on the Digest race sheets.

 

The CPR the horse is expected to earn in today’s race

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One of the unique features of Today’s Racing Digest’s race sheets is the race header.  The Digest experts go through all of the past performances for each of the horses and select the performances that are most representative to today’s race distance, surface and class level.  Then the CPR the horse earned in that past performance is provided to you in column 5 in the race header.  This is the CPR the horse is expected to earn in today’s race.  The higher the number the better.  Now you can easily compare each of the horse’s ability and quickly isolate contenders.

The CPR in the header in column 5 is one of the many reasons Today’s Racing Digest can help you be a more successful handicapper.  Most of the betting public use traditional handicapping products that do not provide the level of sophistication that can be found in the CPR.  By using the CPR you will periodically find a horse that “jumps off the page” and will have a much higher CPR than the other horses running, yet nobody else will be betting on them.  More times than not this is the case where you have struck “gold” and found your “inside information”.

The best CPR the horse has earned on today’s surface and distance

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The Best Prev Sur Dis (Best Previous Surface and Distance) in column 12 in the race header reflects the best Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR) for the Surface (SUR) dirt, turf, synthetic and Distance (DIS), sprint or route of today’s race. If no rating is shown under both headings, no experience at this distance is recorded. If no rating is shown under Surface (SUR) the horse has not raced on the surface of today’s distance.

 

The CPR the horse earned in it’s last race

Last CPR
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The Last CPR in column 15 in the race sheet header represents the Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR) earned in the horse’s last race. This provides a quick study of just who may hold the best current form.  If there is a ~ following the CPR it indicates that this horse’s last race was longer than 90 days ago.

 

The CPR for each horse up to the last 6 starts

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CPR’s for up to the horse’s last 6 starts are listed on all Digest racing sheets in the horse’s data lines under the CPR heading.  The CPR’s listed in the data lines can give you an easy way to quickly identify any trends or cycles the horse may be having or see if he/she is improving in form.  It also makes it easy to compare other horse’s running in the race to see if they compare in terms of speed.


 

Final Race Equation (FIRE Number)

The FIRE Number is the Digest’s exclusive comprehensive speed figure that is created using every tool available to the Digest. Like other speed figures, this is an easy-to-read numerical rating for a horse’s performance. However, unlike other speed figures which only take into account a horse’s final speed rating, the Fire Number is based on a horse’s speed throughout the race, taking into account each and every time recorded by the horse during the running of the race.

When using the FIRE number, keep in mind that each two points represent approximately one length regardless of distance or surface. A horse with a 96 FIRE is a half-length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 97 FIRE is a full length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 98 FIRE is one-and-a-half lengths better than a horse with a 95 FIRE and so on.  The FIRE Number can be found it 2 places in the race sheets.

 

The FIRE Number for Today’s Race

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The FIRE Number for horse’s running in today’s race can be found in the header section at the top of Today’s Racing Digest premium and enhanced race sheets. Just as with the CPR, the FIRE number listed here has been carefully selected by the Digest experts after reviewing each of the horse’s past performances to find the one most representative to today’s race conditions.  As with the CPR the higher the FIRE number the better.

The figure listed is what we expect the horse to run today. When using the FIRE number, keep in mind that this number is based on a 100 par, where our other figures are based off a 150 par.  Each two points represent approximately one length regardless of distance or surface. A horse with a 96 FIRE is a half-length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 97 FIRE is a full length better than a horse with a 95 FIRE. A horse with a 98 FIRE is one-and-a-half lengths better than a horse with a 95 FIRE and so on. First-time starters and foreign horses will be marked with an ‘X’; horses whose ratings are ‘1’ exit very poor performances and lightly-raced horses who seem better than the FIRE would suggest will get a ‘?’, read this last symbol as ‘capable of improvement’

 

The FIRE Number for up to the last 10 starts

FIRE Datalines
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The FIRE for up to the horse’s last 10 starts are listed on all Digest racing sheets just above the horse’s data lines next to the heading “LAST 10 FIRE”.  The list starts on the left with the horse’s most recent race.  The FIRE Numbers listed give you an easy way to quickly identify any trends or cycles the horse may be having or see if he/she is improving in form.  It also makes it easy to compare other horse’s running in the race to see if they compare in terms of speed.


 

Combined Speed and Competitive Level Rating (TOT)

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In order for a horse to win it is important that they have enough speed for the class level they are running in.  The Combined Speed and Competitive Level Rating (TOT) is an easy to use figure to determine if this horse has what it takes compared to other horses in the field. The (TOT) gives you a class and speed figure all in one. This number totals the Recent Competition Level (RCL) which is a class rating that indicates the Race level where the horse has recently been competitive and the Comprehensive Performance Rating (CPR) which is the speed figure the horse is expected to earn today.  The TOT can be found at the top of Today’s Racing Digest premium and enhanced race sheets in the sixth column. The higher the number the better.


 

Last Fraction (LST FRT)

In longer races called routes, especially in turf routes, the ability of a horse to have a fast closing ability can make a lot of difference in how the race will be run.  This especially becomes important when a race has multiple horses that like to be out in the lead (front runners) where a potential speed duel may occur. The Digest race sheets make it easy to find the swiftest closer using the Last Fraction (LST FRT).

 

LST FRT Datalines
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The Last Fraction (LST FRT) for up to the horse’s last 6 starts are listed on all Digest racing sheets in the horse’s data lines under the LST FRT heading.  The Last Fraction listed is the final fraction the horse is expected to earn in today’s race if he/she had a similar performance to the past performance it is listed with regardless of a new race distance and surface.  This now makes it easy to compare a horse’s ability to close in the last leg of the race and to see if the horse is improving and how they compare to other horse’s running in today’s race.


 

Percentage of Favorites In This Type of Race

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Do you ever wonder how often the favorites are in the money (win, place, or show) in a particular type of race?  Today’s Racing Digest Race sheets tell you.  Now you can quickly determine if the odds on the favorite are worth the risk.

The Digest race sheets list the percentages for winning favorites and favorites in the money for that particular race.  Believe it or not, certain races produce more upsets than others and we try to give you the heads up by providing these stats.

 

A Chart to Rate The Percentages For Favorites
Win % Description In-the-money %
0 to 20.9 far far below 0 to 50.9
21.0 to 25.9 far below 51.0 to   57.9
26.0 to 27.9 well below 58.0 to   61.9
28.0 to   30.9 below 62.0 to   63.9
31.0 to 32.5 slightly below 64.0 to   65.9
32.6 to 33.9 average 66.0 to   67.9
34.0 to 35.9 slightly above 68.0 to   69.9
36.0 to 37.0 above 70.0 to   73.9
37.1 to 39.9 well above 74.0 to   79.9
40.0 to 44.9 far above 80.0 to   83.9
45.0 up far far above 84.0 up