The
PacePals Pace Analysis is a visual representation of how the horses in each
race have preferred to run their races. All handicappers know that lone speed
is dangerous (ie: Intercontinental in the Filly & Mare Turf). Anytime a
horse is allowed to run his race unopposed it is dangerous. It is kind of like
everyone heading for the door at the same time. If there are multiple runners
with any specific running style - Rabbits, Foxes, Hounds or Turtles in the
field, there is a good chance they’ll hinder the other horses with similar
running styles. The strongest runner with that style is likely to survive, but
may be stressed enough to get beat.
At the bottom of each
column is historical data on how each running style has fared at that distance
and surface. Data is either from the current meet, year or longer in an effort
to have enough races to be statistically significant. These stats are helpful
to determine if a horse’s normal running style fit’s the winning profile for
the distance/surface.
100% Betting Line: All
any handicapper can do is determine what he feels each horse’s chances of
winning is, then look for overlays. Because 15% is taken out of each wager the
Tote Board displays odds at 115%. You must be 15% better than the public to win
in the long run, making a betting line allows you to bet overlays without the
gut wrenching experience of “I picked this horse, but I don’t like his odds…but
if I don’t bet I’ll be upset.” The betting line makes it easy, if the horse is
below your odds it isn’t worth a straight bet, but may be used in exotics with
other overlays.
Pace Pals 4x9 programs give the novice & expert easy to use Pace handicapping icons: �RABBIT for horses who raced on the lead in their last race. �FOX, horses in the leading 1/3 of the field. �HOUNDS, mid-pack. �TURTLES, trailing 1/3 of the field. �The DARK HORSE, represents 1st-time starters or horses who raced outside of No. America in their last start. �By glancing at the icons anyone can quickly determine if race has plenty of speed (lots of Rabbits & Foxes) or very little speed (a lone Rabbit is always dangerous).
Also, each horse's last race speed rating is next to their icon. Plus, the running style legend for the at the bottom of the page gives a historical record for today's distance and surface of which run styles have been successful. �