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Kentucky Oaks 2019 Report for March 8

There are a trio of Kentucky Oaks 2019 points race this week and my recent Martha Washington Stakes top pick winner Power Gal returns to action at Oaklawn Park in the Honeybee (G3).


Kentucky Oaks 2019 Points Race Analysis


Busher from Aqueduct (3-9-19)


AQU 11 (Busher, 8f) #3 OXY LADY (5-1) ran her best race by far in her lone local outing in the Tempted (G3) last year. After that, she was an okay 4th in the Starlet (G1), and raced wide and failed to deliver in her Rachel Alexandra (G2) return. Looking at her overall form, she sure looks like a miler, and Javier Castellano takes the call. #11 Always Shopping (4-1) is steadily improving for Todd Pletcher and she looked good earning her diploma in the Busanda at Aqueduct Feb. 3. That last win was at a mile and an eighth and she probably wants more ground. #12 Orra Moor (6-1) easily won both dirt sprints at Gulfstream and a one-turn mile should be well within reach. John Velazquez rides back for Todd Pletcher and an outside stalking trip is expected. The Plays: #3 to win, Exacta 3/11-12, Exacta 11-12/3


 


Honeybee (G3) from Oaklawn Park (3-9-19)


OP 9 (G3 Honeybee, 8.5f) #6 POWER GAL (9-2) is on the upswing for Mark Casse and she stretched out and won the Martha Washington as my top choice Feb. 2 (career best FIRE, CPR, Final Rating). She gets pace to chase and might be able to move forward and win again. #3 Sunset Wish (6-1) did not have smooth sailing in the paceless Martha Washington last time. She was a nose away from four straight wins prior to her last and might be able to bounce back while saving ground stalking the pace. #2 Motion Emotion (3-1) went all the way in both local starts and handled two turns just fine in a runaway entry level win Feb. 17. #4 Bizwhacks (12-1) stretched out and easily graduated in the slop Feb. 3 and the runner-up was a romping next-out winner as the chalk March 2. She also handled two turns on turf last year and might be getting good at the right time for Doug O’Neil. The Plays: #6 to win, Exacta 6/2-3-4, Exacta 2-3-4/6, Trifecta 3-6/2-3-4-6/2-3-4-6


 


Bourbonette Oaks from Turfway Park (3-9-19)


TP 10 (Bourbonette Oaks, 8f) Malcolm Franklin booted home three of these at Turfway and decided to stick with #11 DIVA DAY (15-1). She overcame trouble to graduate from the outside post in her sprint bow and Drury Jr. has strong stats with his synthetic route runners (9-for-18). She should get better as distances increase (English Channel - Seattle Slew pedigree). #5 Into Trouble (4-1) ran well in all three extended sprints including a sharp win in her lone all-weather outing in the Arlington-Washington Lassie last September. She hooked a runaway winner in her Tampa Bay return and might go better on synthetic for Colebrook. #6 Red Rounder (5-1) would not be the first turf specialist to handle all-weather ground. She went all the way in her first two turf starts at this distance last year and I liked her effort in the Ginger Brew Jan. 5. #9 Unapologetic Me (6-1) hit the board in her last three turf routes and reconnects with her winning rider Gaffalione. She figures to stalk the pace. The Plays: #11 to win, Exacta 11/5-6-9, Exacta 5-6-9/11


 


Kentucky Oaks 2019 Points Race Recaps


Davona Dale (G2) Recap (3-2-19) - Winner: Jeltrin ($105.00)


This was supposed to be a walk in the park for Jaywalk but that was not the case. Cookie Dough went straight to the lead with Jaywalk angling out from the inside post to press the issue. They remained 1-2 for the opening six furlongs and stalker Jeltrin joined the fray in the stretch. Jaywalk was the first to crack and Jeltrin kept coming after Cookie Dough and got her head down late to spring the upset. Cookie Dough was clearly second best and my underneath longshot key Champagne Anyone got up for the show. Jaywalk weakened to 4th in a puzzling effort. She dominated the paper race but returned with a flat effort. Maybe she was not fit enough, or she might not have developed from age two to three. She deserves another chance but I do not trust her at this stage. The order of finish was completed by Bold Script, Another Time, and High Regard.


Kentucky Oaks Points Leaderboard (through 3-8-19)


1. Serengeti Empress - 60 points


2. Jeltrin - 51 points


3. Jaywalk - 35 points


4.  Bellafina - 32 points


5. Liora - 31 points


6.  Restless Rider - 22 points


7. Eres Tu - 14 points


8. Champagne Anyone - 13 points


9. Chasing Yesterday - 10 points


10.  Positive Spirit - 10 points


Jarrod Horak’s Fabulous Five Kentucky Oaks 2019 Contenders (3-8-19)


#1 - BELLAFINA - Five-time graded winner most recently worked half-mile in 49.60 March 1.


#2 - SERENGETI EMPRESS - Wired the field in Rachel Alexandra (G2). Worked 4f in 49.00 March 6.


#3 - RESTLESS RIDER - Consistent filly had her third workout of the year at Gulfstream Park March 1.  


#4 - JAYWALK - Champion two-year-old filly was disappointing 4th in Davona Dale (G2) return.


#5 - LIORA - Rachel Alexandra (G2) runner-up returns to the top five. Breezed 4f in 49.20 March 3.
 

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