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Updated Kentucky Derby 2019 Remsen Stakes Preview

Trainer Chad Brown finished 2nd in the Derby with Good Magic earlier this year and has several promising Kentucky Derby 2019 candidates including Remsen Stakes contender Network Effect.

Network Effect has only started twice and he ran well both times. If he is going to win his first stakes race on Saturday, he will have to get past Maximus Mischief. The Parx shipper is 2-for-2 and should makes his presence felt throughout at Aqueduct on Dec. 1.

Remsen Stakes 2018 Analysis (12-1-18)

AQU 8 (G2 Remsen, 9f) Looking at the Today's Racing Digest Race Header, Network Effect has the best combination of class (RCL) and CPR (see lines 4-5 in the race header). #5 NETWORK EFFECT (7-5) followed up a sharp stalk/pounce debut maiden win in an extended sprint at Saratoga with a clear place finish in the G3 Nashua. He has a strong local stakes effort under his belt and figures to be tough to handle today for Castellano/Brown. #6 Maximus Mischief (6-5) romped in both sprint starts at Parx and he owns the best overall numbers. He gets a class and stamina test in this spot, and he has beaten a total of eight horses in two starts (beat just 2 rivals Oct 20). #1 Jungle Warrior (8-1) switches surfaces for his new trainer Jimmy Jerkens. #3 Bourbon War (5-1) won his off the turf bow at Aqueduct at one mile Nov 14. He has a strong pedigree and Ortiz Jr. hops aboard for Mark Hennig. THE PLAYS: Exacta 1-3/5, Trifecta 5/1-3/ALL, Trifecta 5/ALL/1-3

Kentucky Derby 2019 Point Race Recaps:

G2 Kentucky Jockey Club (11–18) - Winner: Signalman

This event was run over a sloppy track at a mile and a sixteenth. Looking at the paper race, the pace figured to be honest and a stalker was almost certainly going to score. Signalman saved ground stalking the pace behind Topper T, Knicks Go, and Blue Steel, and he held off closer Plus Que Parfait to win by a neck. Late running Limonte nipped King for a Day in the final jump for 3rd. The latter chased wide from an outer post and was clear of the rest. Roiland was up for 5th, and was followed by Tracksmith, Current, Topper T, Dunph, Royal Urn, Knicks Go, Micks Star, Blue Steel, and Everfast. Signalman has been consistent in these graded route points races with top three finishes in the Breeders’ Futurity (2nd) and BC Juvenile (3rd). He is now a graded winner but I just don’t know what to make of this wet track affair. I would not be afraid to play against any of these runners in the near future.

Jarrod Horak’s “Exceptional Eleven" Kentucky Derby 2019 Contenders

(1) GAME WINNER (Candy Ride - Indyan Giving, by A. P. Indy)

Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Gary and Mary West)

Comments: Easily captured his first two Del Mar starts in a 16-day span, including a sharp score in the G1 Del Mar Futurity. He had better race spacing in the G1 American Pharaoh, and he easily passed that two turn test at Santa Anita Park on Sept. 29. He shipped to Churchill Downs for the BC Juvenile and rallied to win that one by 2+ lengths. Baffert’s talented colt is 4-for-4 and almost certainly gets named 2-year-old champion. His connections are mapping out his road to the Derby schedule.  

Derby Points (30)

(2) CODE OF HONOR  (Noble Mission, Reunited, by Dixie Union)

Trainer (Shug McGaughey) - Owner (William S. Farish)

Latest Workout: 5f bullet in 1:01.55 (1/20) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on Nov. 26.

Comments: Flashed early foot right out of the box in his winning debut at Saratoga Aug. 18. He made his second career start in the G1 Champagne Stakes at Belmont Park, and he ran a big race after stumbling badly at the start. In that event, he made a sustained run from last and rallied five-wide in the stretch to finish a clear 2nd. He got sick and missed the BC Juvenile, and patient trainer McGaughey has not been happy with his training recently, so he will take a pass on the Remsen Stakes at Aqueduct on Dec. 1. He will head to Payson Park in Florida and figures to return early next year.

Derby Points (4)

Code of honor 

(3) IMPROBABLE (City Zip - Rare Event, by A. P. Indy)

Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (WinStar Farm, China Horse Club, SF Racing)

Latest Workout: 7f in 1:27 (1/1) at Santa Anita Park on Nov. 27.

Comments: Followed up a smart stalk and pounce debut sprint win at Santa Anita with a runaway score in the Street Sense at Churchill Downs on the BC undercard (one mile). Baffert’s promising runner has worked three times for his upcoming assignment in the G1 CashCall Futurity at Los Alamitos Race Course on Dec. 8.

(4) VEKOMA (Candy Ride - Mona de Momma, by Speightstown)

Trainer (George Weaver) - Owner (R.A. Hill Stable and Gatsas Stables)

Comments: Stalked the pace and smartly took down his six furlong debut at Belmont Park Sept. 23. He stepped up into the graded ranks in the Grade 3 Nashua at one mile Nov. 4, and once again he stalked, pounced, and won by a bit less than two lengths. He has some route and sprint influences in his pedigree, and we will see how far he wants to go in the future. He was originally slated to go in the Remsen Stakes but will instead get a break before resuming his career in 2019.

(5) GUNMETAL GRAY (Exchange Rate - Classofsixtythree, by Include)

Trainer (Jerry Hollendorfer) - Owner (West Point Thoroughbreds and Jerry Hollendorfer) 

Latest Workout: 5f in 1:01 (5/63) at Santa Anita Park on Nov. 25.

Comments: Ended up 5th behind highly regarded Baffert runner Roadster in his debut, and that learning experience paid dividends second time out. In his second start at one mile, he stalked, pounced, and won by 6+ lengths under Drayden Van Dyke at Del Mar Aug. 22. He resurfaced in the American Pharaoh Stakes, and he caught his stablemate Rowayton for the place. He shipped to Churchill Downs for the BC Juvenile, and he rallied from 12th after a half-mile to end up 5th at the finish. The Juvenile field was very strung out, and he was beaten more than twelve lengths. He seems to have stamina but not enough quickness in the stakes ranks. The Los Alamitos Futurity in December would be a logical target.   

Derby Points (4)

(6) NETWORK EFFECT (Mark Valeski - Sandy Key Gal, by Put It Back)

Trainer (Chad Brown) - Owner (Klaravich Stables, Inc.)

Latest Workout: 4f in 50.28 (17/30) at Belmont Park (dirt training) on Nov. 25.

Comments: It is never easy to win first time out at seven panels, and this one outran his 8-1 odds in his Saratoga bow Aug. 11. In that race, he stalked the pace from post 2 and pulled clear to win by three lengths over a pair of experienced runners (Derby Date, Road Home). That was a strung out field of eight. He tried stakes company in the G3 Nashua second time out, and he stalked the pace and ended up seven lengths clear of the show. His sire Mark Valeski landed the place in the G2 Risen Star and G2 LA Derby in 2012, and he won the G2 Peter Pan later that year, and the G3 Mineshaft as a 4-year-old. Dam Sandy Key Gal could stay a mile on turf. He gets his first two turn test in the Remsen at Aqueduct on Dec. 1.

network effect 

(7) COLISEUM (Tapit - Game Face, by Menifee)

Trainer (Bob Baffert) - Owner (Godolphin, LLC)

Latest Workout: 4f in 48.00 (9/75) at Santa Anita Park on Nov. 28.

Comments: The well-bred colt made a splash in his seven panel debut at Del Mar on Nov. 17. He went straight to the front from the inside post under Joe Talamo and was quickly in command by four lengths after a half-mile. He was on cruise control throughout and won by 6+ lengths while under a hand ride. He figures to love two turns and could be any kind for Baffert and Godolphin.

(8) KING FOR A DAY (Uncle Mo - Ubetwereven, by French Deputy)

Trainer (Todd Pletcher) - Owner (Red Oak Stable)

Comments: Had a wide, troubled trip when checking in 3rd behind Complexity in his six furlong debut at Saratoga Sept. 18. He got a chance to stretch his legs at a mile and a sixteenth at Belmont second time out, and he set a pressured pace and kept on going in a 2-1/4 length tally on Oct. 4. Runner-up Felix the Fox was 2nd again on Oct. 26, and 4th place finisher Tacitus looked good graduating at Aqueduct Nov. 10. In the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes, he chased wide and just missed holding the show in a solid wet track effort.

Derby Points (1)

(9) TACITUS (Tapit - Close Hatches, by First Defence)

Trainer (William Mott) - Owner (Juddmonte Farms, Inc.)

Comments: Made his debut at a mile and a sixteenth at Belmont on Oct. 4, and he made a wide bid before finishing 4th behind King for a Day, Felix the Fox, and Kentucky Wildcat. In his second career start at one mile on dirt at Aqueduct, he was a bit slow early but made a nice outside move turning for home and out gamed Erlich to break his maiden on Nov. 10. He owns an outstanding pedigree and should continue to get better.

(10) SIGNALMAN (General Quarters - Trip South, by Trippi)

Trainer (Ken McPeek) - Owner (Magdalena Racing)

Comments: This one keeps racking up the Derby points with top three finishes in the Breeders’ Futurity (2nd), BC Juvenile (3rd), and Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (1st). He sure is consistent but I am not sure about him as a long term prospect. He is heading to Payson Park in Florida and is tentatively scheduled to kick off his sophomore campaign in the Fountain of Youth Stakes.

Derby Points (18 Points)


(11) U S NAVY CROSS (Curlin - Honor Bestowed, by Honor Grades)

Trainer (Chad Brown) - Owner (Allen Stable, Inc. and Peter M. Brant)

Comments: Nice winning debut at seven panels on Sept. 29. In that maiden special weight affair at Belmont Park, he bided his time in 6th place before producing a nice turn of foot to prevail by a bit more than a length as the betting favorite under Jose Ortiz. Jonathan Thomas first timer Till Then set the pace and was clearly second best. That was a professional effort at a tricky debut distance. In his second career start in the G3 Nashua Stakes at Aqueduct, he lost contact with the field early and ended up passing a couple of runners in a disappointing, distant 4th place finish. He still has upside and I want to see what he can do around two turns.

THE NEXT NINE: (12) Instagrand, (13) Roadster, (14) Endorsed, (15) Fortin Hill, (16) Mind Control, (17) Maximus Mischief, (18) Dueling, (19), Mucho, (20) Well Defined

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